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The bubble has burst on Joe Biden’s popularity numbers. His approval numbers are now in the mid 40s. While a president’s popularity can rise and fall, don’t expect Biden’s numbers to recover very much.
First, it is important to note that whether a president is popular matters very much to his party. Historically, the “most important predictor of a party’s performance in a midterm is the president’s job approval rating.” If a president’s approval rating falls much below 50%, it spells significant trouble in ensuing elections for his party.
Right now, Biden’s approval rating has tumbled to somewhere between 44% and 46% with Rasmussen polling indicating a disapproval rating of 54%. Will Biden rise above 50% again? While it’s possible, here are six reasons why it is very unlikely.
6. Our Divided Era Makes It Very Difficult To Be Popular. Today, there is little common ground among Democrats and Republicans. Our divide has been growing for decades along with the size of government.
One measure of that divide is party loyalty during elections. In 2020, party voter registration was roughly even at 28% and 29%, and 95% of Democrats voted for Biden and