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The 2022 midterms are almost in the books. The large red wave did not materialize, although Republicans did pick up some congressional seats and, apparently, the House. There are significant and important reasons why a large red wave didn’t occur and one large warning for Republicans.
First, before anyone says Republicans had bad candidates, keep in mind that the Democrats won the Senate with John Fetterman and Sen. Krysten Sinema, D-AZ, before him. Bad candidates didn’t stop them, and this article addresses why.
It is important to remember that in 2010, the first midterm election after President Barack Obama was elected, Democrats lost 63 seats in the House of Representatives – two less than I predicted at that time. Before the election, Democrats had 256 House seats and the Republicans only 179. The pendulum swing of 63 seats in favor of Republicans was historically large.
The economy of 2010 was not favorable to Democrats. The unemployment rate peaked at 9.9% in March of that election year and wound up at 9.6% average for the year. Politically, the Democrats controlled the House, the Senate and the White