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It is becoming clearer that President Biden’s draconian decarbonization targets and deadlines – a 50% cut by 2030 and “net zero” by 2050 – have been based on overly pessimistic climate scenarios.
This comes at a time when the Biden administration is pushing its most senseless proposal yet: the EPA’s “tailpipe emissions rule” designed to abolish the internal combustion engine within a few years by mandating that Americans buy electric vehicles.
Climate activists like to present a stark choice – accept radical decarbonization now or face a catastrophic future of melting ice caps, world on fire, etc. That is a false dichotomy, even on climate idealists’ own terms.
President Biden and U.S. Climate Adviser John Kerry attend the U.N. Climate Change Conference in Glasgow, Scotland, on Nov. 1, 2021. (Kevin Lamarque/Pool/AFP via Getty Images)
Projections of climate catastrophe are almost uniformly based on a warming scenario developed by the U.N.’s International Panel on Climate Change called RCP-8.5, which projected a temperature rise of 5-6°C by 2100. But RCP-8.5 was offered more than a decade ago as just a possible “high end” outcome, not a probable one. And it is looking less probable by the day.