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Europe made a bad bet on Russia decades ago. The policy was known as Ostpolitik, which sought to create political and economic ties between then-West Germany and the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. The thinking then and until recently was that by tying Russia to Europe in trade, Russia would have too much to risk by seeking conflict with Europe.
One can spend weeks arguing about what the United States and Europe could have done better, faster, or more thoroughly when it comes to the attack on Ukraine, and whether they did, and continue to do, what is just, right, and proper.
The United States and Europe have been carefully calibrating how to respond to Russia as a result of the fear of a potential nuclear war with Russia. Now is the time to weigh what we could learn from the invasion of Ukraine when it comes to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), commonly known as the Iran nuclear deal. Are we about to lose the next bet when it comes to the JCPOA?
The original sin of Ostpolitik, and